The Milwaukee Bucks are 8-point underdogs for a decisive Game 5 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Tuesday, tipping off at 6 p.m. ET on NBA TV, FDSWI, and FDSIN. The Pacers are on top 3-1 in the series.
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Pacers vs. Bucks Predictions for Tuesday
Our computer model for this contest calls for a final result of Pacers 117, Bucks 113.
- Moneyline Pick: Pacers (-373)
- Total Pick: Over 222.5 (computer predicts 230.0 points)
- Pick ATS: Bucks (+8)
Recent Pacers vs. Bucks Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/27/2025 | Bucks | -3.5 | 226.5 | -173 | +145 | 129-103 IND |
| 4/25/2025 | Bucks | -5 | 230 | -209 | +173 | 117-101 MIL |
| 4/22/2025 | Pacers | -4 | 228 | -178 | +148 | 123-115 IND |
| 4/19/2025 | Pacers | -6 | 227.5 | -244 | +198 | 117-98 IND |
| 3/15/2025 | Bucks | -3.5 | 235.5 | -165 | +138 | 126-119 MIL |
| 3/11/2025 | Bucks | -1 | 238.5 | -114 | -106 | 115-114 IND |
| 12/31/2024 | Bucks | -2 | 229.5 | -130 | +109 | 120-112 MIL |
| 11/22/2024 | Bucks | -5.5 | 235.5 | -220 | +181 | 129-117 MIL |
| 5/2/2024 | Pacers | -6 | 217 | -236 | +191 | 120-98 IND |
| 4/30/2024 | Pacers | -5 | 218.5 | -200 | +165 | 115-92 MIL |
| 4/28/2024 | Pacers | -9.5 | 216 | -413 | +321 | 126-113 IND |
| 4/26/2024 | Pacers | -6.5 | 223.5 | -271 | +219 | 121-118 IND |
| 4/23/2024 | Bucks | -1.5 | 223.5 | -115 | -105 | 125-108 IND |
| 4/21/2024 | Pacers | -1.5 | 230 | -119 | -101 | 109-94 MIL |
| 1/3/2024 | Bucks | -3.5 | 257.5 | -161 | +137 | 142-130 IND |
| 1/1/2024 | Bucks | -8.5 | 261.5 | -348 | +277 | 122-113 IND |
| 12/13/2023 | Bucks | -6.5 | 258 | -252 | +204 | 140-126 MIL |
| 12/7/2023 | Bucks | -5 | 257 | -204 | +169 | 128-119 IND |
| 11/9/2023 | Bucks | -1.5 | 241.5 | -126 | +104 | 126-124 IND |
Pacers 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Indiana is 38-43-1 against the spread this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 8 points or more, the Pacers have a 7-11-1 record against the spread.
- Indiana's games have hit the over in 44 out of 82 opportunities (53.7%).
- This season, the Pacers have won 34 out of the 49 games, or 69.4%, in which they've been favored.
- This season, Indiana has won 17 of its 18 games, or 94.4%, when favored by at least -373 on the moneyline.
Bucks 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Milwaukee has gone 43-39-0 ATS this year.
- The Bucks have a 5-3 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 8 points or more.
- Milwaukee has gone over in 43 of its 82 games with a set total (52.4%).
- The Bucks have been the underdog on the moneyline 26 total times this season. They've gone 11-15 in those games.
- Milwaukee has a record of 2-3 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +294 or longer (40%).
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Pacers vs. Bucks Injury Report
Pacers
Pacers:
Aaron Nesmith: Probable (Back),
Bennedict Mathurin: Questionable (Abdomen),
Isaiah Jackson: Out For Season (Calf)
Bucks
Bucks:
Damian Lillard: Out For Season (Leg),
Tyler Smith: Day-To-Day (Ankle)
Pacers vs. Bucks Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Tuesday, April 29, 2025
- Game time: 6 p.m. ET
- TV channel: NBA TV, FDSWI, and FDSIN
- Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
- Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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