Bucks vs. Heat Predictions, Odds & Stats – April 5

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The Miami Heat (35-42) are just 2-point underdogs against the Milwaukee Bucks (42-34) at Kaseya Center on Saturday, April 5, 2025. The game tips at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSWI.

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Bucks vs. Heat Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this game predicts a final score of Heat 112, Bucks 111.

  • Moneyline Pick: Heat (+106)
  • Total Pick: Over 215.5 (computer predicts 223.4 points)
  • Pick ATS: Heat (+2)

Recent Bucks vs. Heat Matchups

Bucks vs Heat (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
2/23/2025 Bucks -4.5 221 -178 +148 120-113 MIL
1/23/2025 Bucks -6 225.5 -246 +200 125-96 MIL
11/26/2024 Heat -5.5 222.5 -229 +189 106-103 MIL
2/13/2024 Bucks -8 224.5 -332 +261 123-97 MIA
11/28/2023 Bucks -4.5 230.5 -189 +159 131-124 MIL
10/30/2023 Bucks -7.5 225.5 -300 +240 122-114 MIL

Bucks 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Milwaukee has a 38-38-0 record against the spread this season.
  • When they have played as at least 2-point favorites this season, the Bucks are 27-25 against the spread.
  • The teams have hit the over in 39 of Milwaukee's 77 games with a set total.
  • The Bucks have been favorites in 54 games this season and won 35 (64.8%) of those contests.
  • This season, Milwaukee has won 35 of its 53 games, or 66%, when favored by at least -126 on the moneyline.

Heat 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Miami is 37-37-3 ATS this year.
  • The Heat are 16-15-1 against the spread when an underdog by 2 points or more this year.
  • Miami has gone over in 39 of its 77 games with a set total (50.6%).
  • The Heat have won 10 of the 36 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (27.8%).
  • Miami has a record of 9-23 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +106 or longer (28.1%).

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Bucks vs. Heat Injury Report

Bucks

Bucks:

AJ Green: Probable (Shoulder),

Giannis Antetokounmpo: Probable (Foot),

Damian Lillard: Out (Groin),

Jericho Sims: Out (Thumb)

Heat

Heat:

Dru Smith: Out For Season (Achilles),

Terry Rozier: Day-To-Day (Illness),

Tyler Herro: Questionable (Thigh),

Kevin Love: Out (Personal),

Andrew Wiggins: Out (Hamstring),

Nikola Jovic: Day-To-Day (Hand)

Bucks vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Saturday, April 5, 2025
  • Game time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FDSSUN and FDSWI
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: Kaseya Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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